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FEB
24
You Won't Win
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FEB
24
I know it's not horse racing but this article on blackjack, written by Arnold Snyder, is fascinating simply for his frankness in explaining his thoughts about the chances of winning in a game he has dedicated his life. If you are interested in blackjack, card counting or strategies, it makes sobering reading. Not sure if it has relevance to horse racing betting or trading but it makes a point or two that we may all relate. [Written from the depths of a once-in-a-lifetime magnitude losing streak...] I am now in the process of editing a new book which, by the time you read this article in Casino Player, will already be published. Blackjack Wisdom is a compilation of some seventy-five magazine articles I have written over the past fifteen years or so, many of which initially appeared in Casino Player. As I wrap up this project, I must confess that an entire chapter has been excised from this book—and the single longest chapter at that. “Bucks in Flux
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AUG
21
Profitable Sports Gambling Begins With Discipline
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AUG
21
An article I found from Ross Everett a freelance sports writer and respected authority on sports betting odds comparison. His writing has appeared on a variety of sports sites including sports news and World Cup betting sites. He lives in Southern Nevada with three Jack Russell Terriers and a kangaroo. He is currently working on an autobiography of former energy secretary Donald Hodell. I get some of my best sports gambling concepts from non-sports gambling books. That’s not really surprising, since there are so few serious works addressing sports handicapping and gambling. Of all the various gambling related disciplines, sports gambling is perhaps the most complex. The paucity of written work on the subject is downright shameful in light of that fact. Since there’s so little specific literature available some of the best theoretical resources available to the serious sports gambler can be found in books written for the serious poker player. Poker lite
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MAY
18
Penny Up: Childhood Gambling...
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MAY
18
I noticed this article about child gambling. It is the kind of game children play, or did. In these modern times they probably play a tenner-a-time competing on Wii. Child gambling. It makes for an interesting debate. So what are your thoughts on how to approach the subject of gambling for your children or views on it in general? Are you anti gambling for wee nippers or can they learn a valuable lesson? I can remember as a child going to the amusement arcade with my tub of coppers. It was fun at the time and in ways it was a good thing because I can't stand fruit machines now. In a world of gambling temptation - for young and old - is it wise to allow children to gamble? Or does stopping them just make it all the more interesting? Life is one endless gamble, hey. I don't fancy your odds of walking on the moon. I am sure many of you can relate to Penny Up, which brings back memories from
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JUN
10
Gambling Movies
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JUN
10
Big Hand for the Little Lady A naive couple and a child arrive to the town on the way to California to buy there a farm. There is a poker play between the richest men in the region. The man cannot resist it and though he is a very bad poker player, enters the game betting all the money of his family. In the climax of the game he suffers a heart-attack. His wife then takes his place in the table. That's the only way of recovering their savings. But there is a little problem. Can anybody explain her how to play poker? Bugsy New York gangster Ben 'Bugsy' Siegel takes a brief business trip to Los Angeles. A sharp-dressing womaniser with a foul temper, Siegel doesn't hesitate to kill or maim anyone crossing him. In L.A. the life, the movies, and most of all strong-willed Virginia Hill detain him while his family wait back home. Then a trip to a run-down gambling joint at a spot in the desert known as Las Vegas gives him his big idea. California Split A down on his luck gambl
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FEB
10
Value Betting: Gaining an Edge over the Bookie
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FEB
10
If the bookmaker's odds are unfair, how can a punter ever win? Given the disadvantage the overround imposes, it is no surprise that as many as 95% of gamblers fail to win at fixed odds sports betting over the long term. There is no denying that most bookmakers, particularly the well-established firms, are very good at setting prices, estimating the true chance of sporting results and locking in a profit margin. Nevertheless, sports are not statistically quantifiable, in the sense that cards or other forms of casino gambling are, where simple laws of probability govern the outcome of games like blackjack, roulette and craps. I know that I have a 1/37 chance of landing a number 36 on a European roulette wheel (1/38 chance on an American wheel). But how can I know what the true probability is of Ronnie O'Sullivan winning the world snooker championship again? And if I think I know what his chances are, how can I be sure that my estimate is more accurate than the bookmaker's? Unfort
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MAR
19
No Luck
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MAR
19
Premium television network HBO issued a statement March 14 saying it has decided to cancel production of the horse racing drama "Luck" after a horse that was part of the series died the preceding day at Santa Anita Park, in Arcadia, Calif. Meanwhile, the California Horse Racing Board (CHRB) said it is investigating the latest incident. The most recent accident, in which the horse reportedly reared while being walked to her barn and fell and struck her head, was the third equine death associated with production of the program. "Luck" was filming its second season when the latest equine fatality occurred."It is with heartbreak that executive producers David Milch and Michael Mann together with HBO have decided to cease all future production on the series Luck," the HBO statement read."Safety is always of paramount concern," the statement continued. "We maintained the highest safety standards throughout production, higher in f
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MAR
24
Betting Golden Rules
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MAR
24
DON’T SHOW BLIND FAITH IN YOUR ANTE-POST SELECTIONS Readers occasionally criticise tipsters for tipping against a player or team we have already recommended backing for long-term success. This is most common in snooker and tennis. For instance, we may have advised a bet on Andy Roddick to win Wimbledon but, come his quarter-final match, have reached the conclusion that the value lies with Roddick's opponent and advocated a wager on him instead. "What is that all about?" the reader will demand. "If you tipped Roddick at the start you can't start riding another horse halfway through the race." Why not? If, subsequent to our original advice, Roddick's last-eight foe has shown better form and is overpriced it would be remiss of us not to advise getting on the best-value player. So it is with everyone's punting. Each event has to be analysed using the most up-to-date information available and should not be clouded by an earlier trade on the same event. In
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JAN
08
They used to be two-year-old horses: but that changed on 1st January
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JAN
08
. So it's a New Year: 2011. Already much has changed. On the 2nd January, while reading the race cards in the Daily Nag it was obvious something was missing. Where had all the two-year-old horses gone? Vanished spontaneously without a please or thank you from Racing For Change. While Poirot enjoyed his holiday on the Orient Express, he could rest assured the mystery had been resolved. In fact far from shouting: 'It's Professor Plum with a piece of lead pipe in the stables,' there was only one word to be uttered on such a murderous occasion. 'Congratulations!' For as every racing fan knows - irrespective of it's natural birth date - all race horses celebrate their birthday on the 1st January. (And you thought only Her Majesty The Queen had the luxury of blowing out the candles on two cakes.) So seemingly in the twinkle of Storm Cat's eye last year's two-year-olds collectively turned three and while there is no mystery about the a new batch being broken-in, learning the ropes, ca
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