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Kempton
JAN
12
6:50 Kempton - Sir Mark Prescott Playing it Cool (13th January)
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JAN
12
A 7f Novice Stakes.This post is more about Sir Mark Prescott than the rest of the field. In truth, it doesn't look the strongest of races. A 10-horse Novice on standard to slow going. I often think betting on any debutante is either the best or worst idea you ever had. In truth, it is much easier for any horse to win second start compared with first. I know a few of you will say well this trainer or that does exceptionally well. You're correct, they do. However, if you are looking at winning and losing in general terms you have your work cut out.In fact, I could show many statistics that would most likely put you off betting on debutante for life. It wouldn't be a bad thing if I did. Sir Mark Prescott is one of many trainers who I would be hard pressed to bet when making their debut.My data goes back to 2006 and I update every scrap of information for Prescott's two-year-olds covering the Flat turf season. You don't need to be Einstein to work out Polar Ic
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AUG
08
7:10 Kempton Racing Tips (8th August)
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AUG
08
It's been a while since I wrote a post on HCE. Lots of work put into other websites old and new. Very pleased and thankful for all the support and our many contributors. 7:10 Kempton - An EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes over 7f on standard to slow going. Eight two-year-olds take part. Summer Blossom has raced three times for Archie Watson. This Irish-bred daughter of Society Rock races in the familiar silks of Clipper Logistics. She ran well on debut at Chepstow when finishing third place, losing by just half a length. Starting 4/1, connections must have expected a bold show and she was given a pretty hard race suggesting she was fit and ready to roll. Second start, she was far from disgraced in fifth, in what has tuned out to be a fair race. Done little wrong last time out over course and distance, hitting the frame behind Fire Light and Shorter Skirt. A recent Lowther Stakes (Group 2) entries details a juvenile who is held in some regard by the stable. Roger V
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DEC
13
5:10 Kempton Racing Tips (14th Dec) 32RED/BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (Div II) (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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DEC
13
An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f on Standard to Slow going. Twelve runners. Ten colts and two fillies. Eight lightly raced two-year-olds with four debutantes. Daschas made his debut at Kempton, trained by Amanda Perrett for K Abdullah. This homebred son of Oasis Dream wasn't best fancied on debut over course and distance. He was priced 16-1 when finishing third behind easy victor Leshlaa. In many respects, that wasn't the strongest of maidens behind the winner. Although the second and fourth have either won or placed since. This stable's juveniles often improve for the run and he holds each-way claims if prices allow. The Horse Racing Tips at Tipster Review highlight that he is certainly one to watch. Screaming Gemini has run two times priced 14-1 on both starts. This son of Shamardal cost 95,000G at the yearling sales. This bay colt stepped up in distance second start but couldn't reach the leaders giving the impression this drop in trip m
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SEP
02
Godolphin's Dubai One Makes Debut at Kempton for Saeed bin Suroor
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SEP
02
6:30 Kempton - For many race fans the excitement of enjoying two-year-old racing is the appearance of a very talented horse. A horse that wins impressively on debut but competes at pattern class and heralded as a future Classic winner. We may have one such two-year-old making its debut today. Dubai One is trained by Saeed bin Suroor for the mighty Godolphin. This chestnut daughter of Exceed And Excel, out of a relatively poor-winning mare, who was trained by Michael Bell. The reputation of Dubai One proceeds her because she is even money favourite to take this evening's maiden at Sunbury. She is bred to start over this 6f and races from stall 6, ridden by James Doyle. Of the form horses Hathfa, showed ability on debut when seriously backed but, perhaps, slightly disappointed next start at Newbury, although that was a decent contest. This is definitely one of the better juveniles in Richard Hughes string. Etikaal is another live threat for Simo
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AUG
03
6:40 Kempton Racing Tips (3rd Aug) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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AUG
03
An EBF Maiden Fillies Stakes race over 7f on a standard to slow going. Seven two-year-olds take part. Snow Squaw has been fancied on both starts to date and far from disgraced when making her debut at Newmarket and then stepping up to seven furlongs when third in a competitive race at Ascot. This Irish-bred daughter of Excelebration is out of a three-time winning mare at Listed class and placed in Group 2. David Elsworth does well with his juveniles and I imagine connections were satisfied with her performance the last start although hoping for a win. This homebred must take the beating today. Robert Eddery is a talented trainer who deserves more horses sent his way. Fire Palace is a daughter of Royal Applause and a bargain by when purchased by her present owner Edwin Phillips for just 1,800G. Interesting that connections sent this bay filly to Goodwood on debut and she showed promise to finish seventh at odds of 66/1. Eddery does very well with his juveniles when pr
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JUN
29
7:10 Kempton Racing Tips (29th June) BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF NOVICE FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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JUN
29
An EBF Novice Fillies' Stakes (Plus 10) over 7f on standard going. James Tate has been quiet this season with his two-year-old runners. One juvenile that caught the eye is Urban Fox., This bay filly is a daughter of Australian stallion Foxwedge out of a winning mare who was trained by Amanda Perrett. This January foal runs in the familiar silks of Saeed Manana and exceptional yearling purchase at just 10,000G. She is held in high regard at home by connetions and backed on debut and powered home to win in tidy fashion. The form of that race has been franked with Rosebelle winning next start at Chester and Michael Bell's Preobrajenska who was pipped at the post at the course. This step up to 7f should suit Urban Fox. Clearly connections have been keen to make the right decision on this second start because she bypassed a Listed raced and Nursery on Friday. She carries a 7lb penalty which makes life more difficult but I can imagine Tate sees this as a test with a view to pattern class wh
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DEC
01
5:10 Kempton Racing Tips (2nd Dec) 32RED.COM/IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (Div I) (CLASS 4) (2yo)
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DEC
01
Day 11 of The 30 Day Challenge. Been a while since our last update but few chances of late. An EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes over 6f on Standard going. Nine two-year-olds take part: all raced by one debutante. Jeremy Noseda is a class trainer. Rouge Noir was fancied to go well first start but disappointed somewhat, a few lengths away in fourth. This daughter of Showcasing cost 68,000gns at the yearling sales. The betting is important and if priced 13/2 & less has sound each-way claims. Better will be needed today and there's hope this drop in distance and a couple of weeks on the sidelines will find improvement. If particularly weak in the betting, I'd take a watching brief. 5:40 Kempton - Division II. Quite interested in Henry Candy's Artist's Model. This daughter of Dutch Art defied her odds when a gallant third at 16/1. This breeze-up purchase cost £38,000 by the trainer in the ownership of Girsonfield Ltd. The betting suggests this is very much a three-horse
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NOV
24
12:00 Lingfield Racing Tips (25th Nov) 32RED/IRISH STALLION FARMS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (Div I) (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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NOV
24
Day 10 of The 30 Day Challenge. An EBF Maiden Stakes over 1m 1y on Standard going. Nine colts take part, just over half with race experience. Always Welcome catches the eye. This American-bred son of Elusive Quality out of a Group 1 winning mare. George Strawbridge's chestnut colt ran well on debut if not a touch keen and short of room. The winner may have been a big price but looked a fair juvenile. John Gosden has been in outstanding form all season and this April foal will be primed to go well. The horse to beat but - in truth - very little meat on the bone. 12:30 Lingfield - Division II Quite an interesting race. Similar to the earlier division with nine two-year-olds, four lightly raced. A couple of fancied debutantes head the betting so it may give hope of value for one horse. Firstly, Godolphin field Brave Hero. This son of Poet's Cove out of a winning mare, who was twice Listed placed. He was purchased by John Fergusson Bloodstock for 75,000gns at the yearling sa
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NOV
17
5:25 Kempton Racing Tips (18th Nov) 32RED CASINO/EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (Div I) (CLASS 4) (2yo)
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NOV
17
Day 8 of The 30 Day Challenge. 5:25 Kempton: A Maiden Stakes over 7f on standard going. Ten two-year-olds take part: nine colts and one filly. Two horses have race experience. Manson is one of few juveniles for Domonic Ffrench Davis but a talent with an official rating of 85, which sets a decent standard for others to achieve. This son of Equiano has raced three times and relatively fancied on all starts. He raced in the Convivial at York and held an engagement for Dewhurst Stakes (Group 1). It is a slight concern this chestnut colt has been off course for 75 days. With a less fashionable stable, there is a chance he may drift in the betting. Should take the beating but I would take a watching brief unless around 11/4. A mix of debutantes from trainers large and small. The betting will tell the story for most. Little Salamanca and Lord Huntingdon has fair win and place claims if priced 7/1 & less sp. Luca Cumani doesn't feature the best strike rate on
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NOV
10
6:10 Kempton Racing Tips (11th Nov) 32RED.COM MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN STAKES (Div II) (CLASS 6) (2yo)
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NOV
10
Day 3 of the 30-Day Challenge. The results have shown promise. A Median Auction Maiden Stakes over 1m. Quite a restricted race type which gives prominence to form horses. A large field of thirteen runners: ten colts/geldings and three fillies. Eight of the field have experience and one horse catches the eye. Andrew Balding's horses have been in decent form and Charmy looks a live chance here although there is one stumbling block which I'm sure you eagle-eyed readers have noted. This bay filly is a daughter of Yeats out of an unraced mare. This homebred is related to Room Key, who wasn't without some ability for Eve Johnson-Houghton. Charmy made her debut at Newmarket over 7f in July, a race where the form has been franked on a number of occasions. This March foal was slow from the stall but threatened to win until tiring in the last furlong to finish fifth. By all accounts, this is a drop in class. It is worth noting that Balding gave th
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NOV
08
4:10 Kempton Racing Tips (9th Nov) BREEDERS SUPPORTING RACING EBF MAIDEN STAKES (Stallion-Restricted) (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)
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NOV
08
An EBF Maiden Stakes over 7f. Twelve two-year-olds: colts/geldings and the solitary filly, nine juveniles with race experience. The betting is of interest for one candidate here in pinpointing a fair each-way bet. Marylebone is a son of Shamardal out of a Listed winning mare going through the yearling sales at 80,000GNS. It is interesting why this youngster was sent to the sales as he is a home bred and still in the ownership of Chasemore Farm. This bay colt was relatively fancied on debut when finishing sixth-of-ten runners over 7f on good to soft ground at Leicester. This March foal was well backed that day from 10/1 returning 11/2 SP. Ed Walker is a talented trainer and that was a fair introduction leaving the impression there will be more to come on this second start. As mentioned, keep an eye on the betting, and if starting 13/2 & less would tempt me to have a few shekels on each way. If weak in the market, I'd take a watching brief. Part of the 30-day challenge
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SEP
20
3:40 Kempton Racing Tips (21st Sept) CASH OUT ON THE BETDAQ APP/EBF STALLIONS MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (Div II) (CLASS 4) (2yo)
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SEP
20
An EBF Maiden Fillies Stakes over 7f on standard to slow going. Fourteen two-year-olds take part. Gravity Flow was fancied on debut at Windsor when flashing home with spirit behind the well regarded Sunflower. trained by Andrew Balding. William Haggas' daughter of Exceed And Excel cost 165,000euros at the yearling sales and sure to appreciate this step up to 7f. She was one of five juveniles for this stable entered for the Cheveley Park Stakes (Group 1), but three have been forfeited at the last stage, including Gravity Flow. That may have as much to do with this chestnut filly being better over a stiffer trip. A recent Stakes entry suggest connection expect a maiden win sooner rather than later. The statistics detail this beaten favourite will go well with decent win and place claims. The horse to beat. Peppering is potentially well drawn and likely to be fancied in the betting for Charlie Appleby and Godolphin. This American bred filly doesn't hold any flashy Group ent
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AUG
18
6:40 Kempton Racing Tips (19th Aug) 32RED CASINO MAIDEN AUCTION STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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AUG
18
A Maiden Auction Stakes over 7f on standard to slow going. Fourteen runners and a few to note. Not enough time to go too in depth but pointers to help narrow the field. Sterling Lines didn't show any ability on debut at Goodwood but a couple of Group entries suggest much better is expected for Mrs Fitri Hay's colt, trained by Peter Chapple-Hyam. The betting is key. If fancied it will speak volumes. If priced 13/2 & less I'd expect a big run although a wide draw isn't ideal. If outside this betting guide, I'd take a watching brief. The entries are interesting. You N Me hails from a trainer I have great respect in Karl Burke. This daughter of Footstepsinthesand was given a Lowther Stakes (Group 2) entry [Thursday at York]. Clearly, this bay filly isn't up to that class. She was relatively fancied on debut over 6f at Carlisle but faded after showing pace. This race type is similar to her debut and the extra furlong will help. More is needed today. The betting is very
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APR
03
1:40 Kempton Racing Tips (4th April) BETFRED TV/BRITISH STALLION STUDS EBF MAIDEN STAKES (Plus 10 Race) (CLASS 4) (2yo)
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APR
03
An EBF Maiden Stakes over 5f on standard going. Just fives runners: two beaten favourites taking on the debutantes, including three colts and two fillies. Last year this race was won by Escalating, trained by Pat Eddery, who was a beaten favourite in the Brocklesby Stakes. Richard Hannon's Anwar is on a recovery mission after a promising debut although firmly put in her place by a bigger, stronger [Rah Rah] horse trained by Mark Johnston. This grey daughter of Dark Angel cost 78,000GNS at the yearling sales when purchased by Peter & Ross Doyle Ltd. Hannon said: ''Previous experience can mean a lot on the all-weather, so we hope that Anwar, who made a promising debut last week, might be able to go one better in the opener. He bumped into a good one there and maybe Mark Johnston has another up his sleeve in Tawakkol, but our filly has taken her race well and is ready to roll again.'' This small, athletic filly has valuable experience over course and d
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JAN
21
5:00 Kempton Racing Tips (21st January) 32RED.COM MAIDEN FILLIES´ STAKES (CLASS 5) (3yo+)
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JAN
21
A Maiden Fillies Stakes over 7f on standard going. A large field of fourteen, most lightly raced with four debutantes. High Class Equine advised of P J McBride's three-year-olds the other day and we have another second-starter who could well figure. Anarchiste is a daughter of Archipenko out of a winning mare who was trained by Geoff Wragg. Anarchiste, like her mother, is owned and bred by Miss K Rausing. This chestnut filly ran over course and distance a couple of weeks ago when showing promise, finishing fourth, in what may turn out to be a fair race. Certainly, Sir Mark Prescott's winner Molly Dolly is likely to prove a talent. Phillip McBride's juveniles rarely win on debut and primed to go well second start. A wide draw (13) isn't ideal, but over this distance and with that formative experience it is hoped she will sit handy and finish in style. Must have decent each way claims. Each-way double: 4:30 Kempton - Littlecote Lady (7/1) 3rd 5:00 Kempton - Anarchiste (8/1) 4th
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DEC
07
2:10 Kempton Racing Tips (8th December) BOOK NOW FOR BOXING DAY MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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DEC
07
A Maiden over one-mile on standard going. Thirteen two-year-olds take part: eleven colts and two fillies. A mix of lightly-raced thoroughbreds from leading stables and two debutantes, including the well-bred New Style for Saeed Bin Suroor, sired by Street Cry out of Land Of Dreams who was a class sprinter, racing at the highest level before retiring at three. A debut winner at two, she was triumphant in the Flying Childers Stakes (Group 2). The betting will give a good clue to the likely chances of all. One horse that catches the eye is Entitling, trained by James Fanshawe. This bay colt, an Irish-bred son of Mastercraftsman, was an expensive yearling purchase for Suzanne Roberts from Tattersalls October Sales 2013 when achieving 200,000GNS. Now racing in the familiar silks of Ben MC Wong, this March foal was well backed on debut [12/1 - 15/2] when racing on good ground at Nottingham over 1m 1/2f. That was a promising first start, running on after being short of room. G
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DEC
03
5:45 Kempton Racing Tips (4th December) £25 FREE BET AT BETVICTOR MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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DEC
03
A maiden stakes over 6f on standard going. Twelve two-year-olds take part: colts & geldings bar one filly. The betting will be important here and if Nuno Tristan is backed he could well prove a decent each-way bet. William Jarvis has a small string of juveniles at Phantom House Stables in Newmarket but is a capable trainer who can turn out winners, especially on their second start. This America-bred colt is a son of Henrythenavigator out of a talented mare who raced twice but won both starts for John Gosden [owned by Robert Sangster] including the Princess Margaret Stakes (Group 3) at Ascot. The mare, Saintly Speech, was purchased by Blandford Bloodstock aged 11 for $110,000 at the Keeneland January Sales [2008]. Nuno Tristan is a well-bred horse who was similarly purchased by Blandford Bloodstock for 115,000gns from Tattersalls October Sales 2013. Clive Washbourn has been a long-term patron with Jarvis, who sent out debut winner L'Addition, a surprise
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AUG
27
Another Day... A Few Cool Tips
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AUG
27
Slightly irritated by yesterday's tip Solstalla. A wide draw was to blame and caught behind a wall of horses was a hammer blow. She ran on well at the line but all too late. Jarvis' filly would have gone close and almost certain to have been placed with an ounce of luck. A few cool tips today: 2:30 Carlisle - Shootingsta A fairly competitive heat for a northern maiden. Shootingsta looked to have disappointed last start but that has turned out to be a hot maiden with the winner and second reaching for the stars. Bryan Smarts' colt was a touch keen last time out and ease in the ground didn't suit. He isn't the strongest-looking horse which slightly tempers my enthusiasm but on the over side of the coin is held in some regard by the trainer. This son of Fast Company is up to winning races and this firm ground should help. I'd expect a bold front-running display, so a fair chance of cashing your chips mid-race if you wish. Must have fair each way claims at respectable odds.
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AUG
03
2:15 Kempton Racing Tip (4th August) £25 FREE BET AT BETVICTOR.COM MEDIAN AUCTION MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 5) (2yo)
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AUG
03
A Median Maiden Auction Stakes over 6f on standard ground. Eleven two-year-olds take part: nine colts/gelding and two fillies. The majority of the field are lightly raced. This looks out of four horses. Richard Hannon is a force to be reckoned when it comes to quality juveniles racing in the familiar silks of Mrs Julie Wood. It's a formula many punters observe as a winner waiting to happen. State Of The Union is an Irish bred son of Approve purchase by Peter & Ross Doyle at the Doncaster Premiere Yearling Sale 2013 for £35,000. This January foal is a good-looking colt out of an unraced mare. He started his career at Newmarket when ridden by Frankie Dettori in what looked to be a pretty hot median auction maiden. Hugo Palmer's Home Of The Brave won comfortably from Athletico [Roger Charlton], the pair clear of State Of The Union, who was similarly proud of the fourth. This chestnut faded in the final furlong but sure to be fitter and wiser today. In some respects it is diffi
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JUN
05
6:45 Kempton Racing Tip: Golden Zephyr To Shine For Hills
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JUN
05
With the sad loss of John Hills it would be a fitting tribute to see Golden Zephyr win this 6f maiden fillies stakes with his father, Barry [pictured] taking over the trainer's licence. This home bred daughter of Tamayus ran a sterling race on debut at Ascot over the minimum trip. John talked about this promising juvenile saying: ''This filly goes well, natural speed but like all of mine should improve from the experience in what looks a strong event. Nice debut 4th, just needs settle bit better next time and will go close.'' As a fitting tribute all race courses asked their patrons to give a minutes applause in his memory. It would be the greatest tribute of all to see this good-looking filly do him proud today. I will be cheering her home.
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FEB
12
5:10 Kempton (13th February) Free Horse Racing Tips
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FEB
12
Torres Del Paine can either be held-up or track the leaders. This gelding comes out second best on my figures, so must have an each-way chance. Diamond Vine can be held- up or track leaders. It has done better at Lingfield and rated in my top four. *Demoiselle Bond is the only horse in the race that is known to lead, so I'm hoping she can get an uncontested lead and try to make all. This mare is available at odds of 14/1 and looks a decent each-way bet. Strategic Action likes to track the leaders but it maybe needs a longer trip and potentially outpaced. Ryedale Lass has got slow times over course and distance. Geoffrey Deacon's mare may find this trip on the short side. I doubt if she is fast enough to be involved in the finish. Steel City Boy isn't in my top four on its figures at Kempton & probably prefer a slower surface. The type to track leaders, but might be outpaced by some of these at this faster course. Microlight can be held up or track leaders. However, it's not i
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FEB
11
6:15 Kempton (12th February) Free Racing Tips
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FEB
11
6.15 Kempton - Shawkantango has recorded a very fast time on good-to-firm going at Folkestone so has to be a danger. But its all-weather form is not as good. Top Cop may find this a bit too short and is the type that likes to track the leaders. I think these may go too fast for him. Island Legend likes to try and lead and is the only natural front runner. It is my top rated and if it gets an easy lead it will be very hard to beat. Decent Fella is another that may find this too sharp and may get outpaced. Desert Strike can either track the leaders or even lead and comes out second on my figures. I'm hoping it will not try to force the early pace else it will be set up for a fast finisher. Only Ten Percent may find this trip too short but will be finishing quite well. But I doubt if it will be good enough to win. Pull The Pin may prefer a slower course like Southwell. It likes to track the leaders, but again, I think on this course it will find them too fast. Mossgo can either track the
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FEB
04
8:00 Kempton (5th January) Free Horse Racing Tips
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FEB
04
They say timing is everything! Well, that proved to be the case on Tuesday. It's sod's law that the day we didn't upload a guest blog post from sprint supremo E.R.I.C it comes back to haunt us. He fired in two out of three winners: 10/1, 8/1...the unplaced selection was 33/1. He detailed his tips here. A frustrating day. All my fault - a lesson learned. Here is his latest sprint race analysis. 8.00 Kempton - I tipped New Rich last time out and I'm prepared to give him one more chance. He won well the time before last and that was this gelding's second win over course and distance. A top rating was achieved on its last win here. Fahey [jockey] overdid the hold-up tactics last start and was never going to get there in time. There are three horses that have been known to lead: Nelson Quay, Dorback and Ghostwing. Hopefully there will be a decent early pace. I don't think Ghostwing will be fast enough to lead and would probably be a better horse over seven furlongs, while
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FEB
02
1:30 Kempton (3rd February) Free Horse Racing Tips
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FEB
02
1.30 Kempton - Jubilee Brig may prefer a longer trip and can either be held up or track the leaders. Pabusar might find this stretches his stamina. He will have to be held up to have even the slightest chance of winning. Belle Bayardo has got poor form at Kempton and is likely to track the leaders. Jambobo may need further and its form on the all-weather is poor. Dixie Gwalia is the likely leader but her times make it doubtful if she can win even with an uncontested lead. The only horse with a semblance of a decent time is Capone (NAP) and it could win easily. Either it needs to have an off day or another horse progress beyond all recognition for the selection not to win but there's never a certainty with horse racing. 2.00 Kempton - this race is split with 3 horses that are known to lead and three that will either chase the leaders or be held up. I think Welsh Sunrise, Time For Lambrini and Harvest Mist would have to improve greatly to win this race. The selection wo
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